The widely-used buzzword, "jobless recovery", is the ultimate oxymoron. There is no recovery without the creation of new jobs. Seventy-percent of the US economy is consumer driven and if unemployment remains high, consumers will hold back on purchases. Consumers stick to the staples if they are marginally employed, unemployed, or in fear for the stability of their own jobs.
We get so jaded by enormous numbers tossed around the media these days from bank bailouts, stimulus packages, the national debt, etc. - seeing trillions, billions, or millions of something or another that we totally lose perspective of the size and scope of things. Let's put "real numbers" to the human side of unemployment. Each week just about one-half million people file for FIRST TIME unemployment benefits. To put that in the proper frame of mind, this is roughly the population of cities the size of Boston or Denver proper. It is difficult to fathom the numbers and human misery as a result of job loss. But think of every man, woman, senior citizen, and child in Boston - that number of people - losing their job each week. Now think of two very populous US states, Illinois and Ohio, about 25 million people combined. That is roughly the number of people on the unemployment rolls and those men and women who have expended their unemployment benefits and given up on finding jobs in this tough job market. The best estimates put this number at 17% of the total US workforce, not the 10% or so published by the Dept. of Labor, which is only the number currently receiving unemployment benefits. Again, contemplate the entire populations of these two populous states, not just the working age folks, but the entire populations -- out of work! This is mind-boggling! And these people are not buying new cars, flying to Florida for Spring break, or remodeling their spare bathrooms.
The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA) has created some new jobs, but at a high price of $800 billion (yes, that's billion with a B) - and future generations will (unfortunately) be picking up the tab. The number of jobs saved and created has not met the Obama administration's projections, so Congress has proposed another stimulus package - throwing more good money (which we have to borrow from other countries) after a marginally successful program. Now our government, in its infinite wisdom, has decided to count the jobs created differently. "The White House says it will no longer keep a cumulative tally of jobs created and saved by the stimulus. Instead, it will post only a count of jobs for each quarter. And instead of counting only created and saved jobs, it will count any person who works on a project funded with stimulus money-even if that person was never in danger of losing his or her job." On this last point, one of the stimulus programs funded required the purchase of 3000 vehicles from Chrysler. The workers who build these vehicles along with tens-of-thousands of others will be counted as new jobs, even though they were employed before this order and will remain employed after. And some of the stimulus money was used to give pay raises (unbelievable how that can be justified). Then there is the $247,000 spent on road signs in Colorado, stating particular projects were funded by ARRA. I would have rather seen that money spent on hiring 5 full-time workers!
So here we sit in a recovery-less, jobless recovery, wondering what the future will bring.
Richard S. Pearson is the Author of 5 Necessary Skills to Keep Your Career on Track. He has held vice-president positions with four multibillion dollar travel industry companies and three Internet early stage companies. He has a BA degree from Regis University in Organizational Development. His experience has given him a unique perspective on how to navigate the organizational structures of both large and small companies. He has hired and trained hundreds of employees from frontline salespeople to vice presidents, and coached many through their careers. He is currently working on facilitating the large increase of travel between the US and China, which is taking place. http://www.5necessaryskills.com |
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